The 2005 12-Team Playoff Night Thread (12/19)

Pretty non-controversial! In real life, undefeated1 USC took on undefeated Texas in an instant classic. No one else had even a faint claim, not even a plucky upstart mid-major. Instead, this season’s drama came from some pretty significant conference realignment. The ACC continued its pillage of the Big East, adding Boston College to get to 12 members so they could begin hosting a conference championship game. The Big East responded by kicking out Temple, who were truly horrific during their stay in the Big East.2 They also responded by raiding Conference USA, adding Cincinnati, Louisville, and South Florida. C-USA also lost TCU to the Mountain West, and Army to independence, and stemmed their bleeding by adding a whopping 6 schools (Marshall and UCF from the MAC, and Rice, SMU, Tulsa, and UTEP from the WAC), which then prompted the WAC to take three schools (Idaho, New Mexico State, Utah State) from the Sun Belt, which caused the Sun Belt to add Florida Atlantic and Florida International from I-AA3. Shit really rolls downhill, with poaching at the top causing a chain reaction all the way down into the next division.

Back to the playoff, Penn State at #3 is similarly obvious, as the only 1 loss major conference champ.4 Georgia comes in at #4, champions of the SEC. In our “How did Mark Richt fuck it up this year?” we note losses to middling Florida and Auburn squads keeping the Dawgs out of any real contention in the BCS. But once again, our world gives the perennial bridesmaid a chance to make right.

Big 10 co-champs Ohio State come in at #5, out of the byes thanks to a head-to-head loss against the Nittany Lions, but at least hosting a warm weather team. (We’ll get back to them in a minute) #6 is Oregon, Pac-10 runners up with only a loss to USC marring their record. In real life Oregon fell all the way to the Holiday Bowl, kept out of the BCS by our #7 team, Notre Dame. (In fairness to the Irish, in the AP poll they ranked one spot ahead of the Ducks, #5 vs #6). Notre Dame promptly did what they always do in a major bowl game and lost, 34-20 to the Buckeyes. In our world maybe they get a chance; not sure if 1st round playoff games count as major bowls or not. I guess tomorrow’s clash against Indiana will tell us that!5

Miami makes it at #8, runners up in the newly coined ACC Coastal division. Their inclusion is, I think, maybe the most questionable choice. They lost the division to Virginia Tech, who finished the regular season 10-2 after an upset in the conference championship game that Miami couldn’t qualify for. This loss kept Virginia Tech out of our 12-team field entirely. But, the Canes do have a head-to-head win over the Hokies, so I guess we can say that’s what justifies their inclusion. Our final at-large are #9 Auburn, SEC West runners-up who have a similar relationship with LSU, who won their division but miss the playoff after an upset to Georgia in the SEC championship. But, like Miami and Virginia Tech, Auburn can claim a head-to-head over LSU as justification for their placement.

Part of why such strong at-large teams get left out this year is because of some fairly weak conference champs rounding things out. West Virginia just sneaks into the BCS top 12, champions of the restructured Big East. But their inclusion will be wholly noncontroversial after their inevitable upset of Notre Dame in South Bend.6 TCU win their inaugural season in the Mountain West, jumping slightly into the playoff from BCS #14. But the true beneficiary of our 7 champ requirement, the rule meant to help out the little guy, is of course 8-4 Florida State, a butt booty team that bumbled their way to the ACC Atlantic crown before upsetting Virginia Tech in the very first ACC championship game. CCGs bring in a lot of money, but sometimes they’re more trouble than they’re worth, as the ACC goes from a likely first round bye with 1-loss champ Virginia Tech to being lucky to make the field at all with 4-loss Florida State. The conference consolidation that lead to the ACC title game existing at all wound up saving their ass here, as 9-2 Louisville ranked ahead of FSU in the BCS, and likely would have claimed this last champ spot if they were still in Conference USA, rather than the Big East runners-up.

Stats Corner!

Bids by Conference:

Big XII20
SEC18
Big 1014
Pac-10/1214
ACC9
Big East8
C-USA3
Mountain West3
WAC3
Independent2
MAC2

“Automatic Qualifier”7 Bids by Conference:

ACC2
Mountain West2
WAC2
Big 101
Big East1
C-USA1
SEC1

Whiffs8 by Conference:

MAC6
C-USA5
Sun Belt5
WAC5
Mountain West4
Big West3
Big East1
Pac-10/121

Bids by Team:

Florida State6
Kansas State5
Miami (FL)5
Texas5
Florida4
Georgia4
Nebraska4
Ohio State4
Oklahoma4
Tennessee4
USC4
LSU3
Oregon3
Virginia Tech3
Auburn2
Boise State2
Iowa2
Michigan2
Notre Dame2
TCU2
Wisconsin2
Alabama1
Arizona1
BYU1
Cal1
Colorado1
Illinois1
Louisville1
Marshall1
Maryland1
Miami (OH)1
Michigan State1
Oregon State1
Penn State1
Purdue1
Southern Miss1
Stanford1
Syracuse1
Texas A&M1
Tulane1
UCLA1
Utah1
Washington1
Washington State1
West Virginia1

“Automatic Qualifier” Bids by Team:

Florida State2
TCU2
Boise State1
BYU1
LSU1
Purdue1
Southern Miss1
Syracuse1