91st Academy Award Nominations LIVE Discussion Thread

The time has come. January 22, 2019. Tracee Ellis Ross and Kumail Nanjiani will be announcing the nominations for the 91st Academy Awards in just a few minutes, starting at 8:20 AM (5:20 AM PST, sucks to be them). You can follow along at home on your local ABC affiliate, or right here on this very page (and down in the comments, where I’ll be attempting to live-post the nominees, natch):


The Oscars aren’t until February 24, but this has already been an awards season of ups and downs. Two all-but-certain Best Picture nominees, Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody, have been marred by scandal (and mediocrity, for that matter) – the former by its star’s use of the N-word in an interview, its director’s sordid on-set history, and its lead writer’s offensive social media presence, among other things; and the latter by a fired (but still credited) director accused of a number of sexual improprieties, as well as some more-than-vaguely homophobic plotting. Speaking of homophobia, after a series of angry non-apologies for past homophobic jokes, Kevin Hart is definitely NOT hosting this year’s Oscars, and the Academy has decided to pick up their toys and go host-less this year, an experiment that surely won’t end badly. Lest we forget, this is ALSO the year that brought us an aborted attempt at a “Best Achievement in Popular Film” category (aka the “We Don’t Want to Nominate Black Panther for Best Picture but Still Want ABC-Disney’s Support” Award), and the year that the Academy has decided to relegate certain “smaller” awards to commercial breaks, kind of defeating the purpose of an Oscars telecast.

Still with me? I’ve already pontificated on my opinions on who should/will/won’t be nominated this year (https://the-avocado.org/2019/01/18/the-road-to-the-91st-oscars-part-iii/ , etc.), so rather than bore you further, I will simply repost my predictions in all 24 categories below. There is ample opportunity for upsets this morning, but I feel pretty confident (though maybe not so confident as to say that I’ll beat my record from last year of predicting 94 out of 118 nominees). I’ll meet you all down in the comments, where I’ll be posting the nominations as they’re announced.

Best Picture
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star is Born
Vice

If there are nine nominees…: If Beale Street Could Talk
If there are ten nominees…: First Man
Dark Horse: Mary Poppins Returns

Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Adam McKay, Vice
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Dark Horse: Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Actress
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Dark Horse: Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice
Claire Foy, First Man
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Dark Horse: Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians

Best Actor
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Dark Horse: John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
TImothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Dark Horse: Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Foreign Language Film
Burning, Lee Chang-dong, South Korea
Capernaum, Nadine Labaki, Lebanon
Cold War, Pawel Pawlikowski, Poland
Roma, Alfonso Cuaron, Mexico
Shoplifters, Hirokazu Kore-eda, Japan
Dark Horse: Birds of Passage, Cristina Gallego and Ciro Guerra, Colombia

Best Animated Feature
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-man: Into the Spider-Verse

Dark Horse: Tito and the Birds

Best Documentary Feature
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
RBG
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

Dark Horse: Hale County This Morning, This Evening

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

Dark Horse: The Death of Stalin

Best Original Screenplay:
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
Vice

Dark Horse: Eighth Grade

Best Original Score:
Black Panther
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

Dark Horse: A Quiet Place

Best Original Song:
“All the Stars,” Black Panther
“The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns
“Trip a Little Light Fantastic,” Mary Poppins Returns
“I’ll Fight,” RBG
”Shallow,” A Star is Born
Dark Horse: “Revelation,” Boy Erased

Best Sound Editing:
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place
A Star is Born

Dark Horse: Roma

Best Sound Mixing:
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place
A Star is Born

Dark Horse: Roma

Best Cinematography:
Cold War
The Favourite
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born

Dark Horse: If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Film Editing:
The Favourite
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born
Vice

Dark Horse: Black Panther

Best Production Design:
Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

Dark Horse: A Star is Born

Best Costume Design:
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

Dark Horse: Crazy Rich Asians

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

Dark Horse: Black Panther

Best Visual Effects:
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One

Dark Horse: Solo

Best Animated Short:
Animal Behaviour
Bao
Bilby
Lost and Found
Weekends

Dark Horse: Bird Karma

Best Documentary Short:
Black Sheep
Endgame
Period. End of Sentence.
Women of the Gulag
Zion

Dark Horse: My Dead Dad’s Porno Tapes

Best Live Action Short:
Caroline
Detainment
Fauve
Marguerite
Skin

Dark Horse: Icare